Monday, August 17, 2015

Is Big Bird the Modern Canary in the Mine?

Those who have been reading my musings over the years know that I have often opined on the changing electronic media landscape.  The announcement last week that Sesame Street would be moving to HBO may well be the tipping point that will accelerate sweeping changes in what we watch and how and where we watch it.  

If you missed the announcement, it related that new episodes of the iconic children’s TV program would first be released on pay TV, i.e. HBO, and after a period of time be released to PBS for free broadcast.  As one would imagine, many media pundits have been lamenting this development as taking away the birthright of millions of American kids unable to access HBO.  While this observation may be valid, the switch by the producers of Sesame Street is also about a shift in how most of us will consume our daily fix of TV.

A closer look at the TV industry, especially the broadcast TV segment, shows that over the air and cable, once the mainstays of the business, are flagging.  Some of the most watched and critically acclaimed programs never get broadcast.  Rather, they are streamed on Netflix, Hulu or Amazon Plus.  Appointment viewing, i.e. waiting for the time the broadcaster decides to show a certain program, runs contrary to having the “what we want, when we want it” mentality.

In the announcement regarding Sesame Street it was made clear that among the reasons that they were moving to HBO was to take advantage of the streaming capabilities.  Children’s programs like Sesame Street are ideal for online on demand delivery as parents look for suitable fare to offer their young children unwilling to wait for the time slot chosen by the local PBS stations  

We are just beginning to see the ramifications of this sea change.  The economic models for local TV stations (both commercial and public TV) have changed.  Once immensely profitable, running a local TV station in the black is now very difficult.   Stations in Ohio and other swing states have been buoyed by political ad spending, but that is not going to be enough to sustain stations in the long term.

So Big Bird may well be that canary in the mine.


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